Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators

doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators

Heidelberg University
University of Coimbra
Faculty of Pharmacy
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Department of Health Metrics Sciences
School of Medicine
University of Washington
GBD Collaborating Unit
Department of Applied Mathematics
University of British Columbia
Department of Sports and Computer Science
AndroUrology Centre
Brisbane
Health Effects Institute
Case Western Reserve University
Indian Council of Medical Research
Public Health Foundation of India
National Institute for Stroke and Applied Neurosciences
Research Center of Neurology
Division of Pediatric Hematology-Oncology
Dublin City University
Department of Global Health and Population
Arba Minch University
University North
School of Pharmacy
Catholic University of Portugal

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	2204-2256
Number of pages	53
Journal	The Lancet
Volume	403
Issue number	10440
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8
State	Published - May 18 2024
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

Adult
Aged
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
Female
Forecasting
Global Burden of Disease/trends
Global Health
Humans
Life Expectancy/trends
Male
Middle Aged
Mortality/trends
Risk Factors
Young Adult

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10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8

Cite this

@article{2493a11f10d945798d4c879719668b09,

title = "Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022{\textendash}2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021",

keywords = "Adult, Aged, Disability-Adjusted Life Years, Female, Forecasting, Global Burden of Disease/trends, Global Health, Humans, Life Expectancy/trends, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality/trends, Risk Factors, Young Adult",

author = "\{GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators\} and Basso, \{J. D.\} and Vollset, \{Stein Emil\} and Ahlstrom, \{Austin J.\} and Tahiya Alam and Andrews, \{Erick Adrian\} and Antony, \{Catherine M.\} and Aravkin, \{Aleksandr Y.\} and Charlie Ashbaugh and Bhattacharjee, \{Natalia V.\} and Catherine Bisignano and Michael Brauer and Dana Bryazka and Katrin Burkart and Shujin Cao and Julian Chalek and Clayton, \{Justin T.\} and Cogen, \{Rebecca M.\} and Cohen, \{Aaron J.\} and Haley Comfort and Connolly, \{Jon T.\} and Cooper, \{Ezra E.K.\} and Xiaochen Dai and Dalton, \{Bronte E.\} and Lalit Dandona and Rakhi Dandona and Feigin, \{Valery L.\} and Flor, \{Luisa S.\} and Force, \{Lisa M.\} and Sama Ghoba and Annie Haakenstad and Demewoz Haile and Hay, \{Simon I.\} and Henson, \{Claire A.\} and Kassel, \{Molly B.\} and Kim, \{Julie Sojin\} and Kyu, \{Hmwe Hmwe\} and Lawlor, \{Hilary R.\} and Lim, \{Stephen S.\} and Lindstedt, \{Paulina A.\} and Rafael Lozano and Maass, \{Kelsey Lynn\} and McKowen, \{A. W.\} and Tomislav Mestrovic and Moberg, \{Madeline E.\} and Mokdad, \{Ali H.\} and Mosser, \{Jonathan F.\} and Vincent Mougin and Nguyen, \{Quynhanh P.\} and Ostroff, \{Samuel M.\} and Beyene, \{Kebede A.\}",

year = "2024",

month = may,

day = "18",

doi = "10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8",

language = "English",

volume = "403",

pages = "2204--2256",

journal = "The Lancet",

issn = "0140-6736",

number = "10440",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050

T2 - a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

AU - GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators

AU - Basso, J. D.

AU - Vollset, Stein Emil

AU - Ahlstrom, Austin J.

AU - Alam, Tahiya

AU - Andrews, Erick Adrian

AU - Antony, Catherine M.

AU - Aravkin, Aleksandr Y.

AU - Ashbaugh, Charlie

AU - Bhattacharjee, Natalia V.

AU - Bisignano, Catherine

AU - Brauer, Michael

AU - Bryazka, Dana

AU - Burkart, Katrin

AU - Cao, Shujin

AU - Chalek, Julian

AU - Clayton, Justin T.

AU - Cogen, Rebecca M.

AU - Cohen, Aaron J.

AU - Comfort, Haley

AU - Connolly, Jon T.

AU - Cooper, Ezra E.K.

AU - Dai, Xiaochen

AU - Dalton, Bronte E.

AU - Dandona, Lalit

AU - Dandona, Rakhi

AU - Feigin, Valery L.

AU - Flor, Luisa S.

AU - Force, Lisa M.

AU - Ghoba, Sama

AU - Haakenstad, Annie

AU - Haile, Demewoz

AU - Hay, Simon I.

AU - Henson, Claire A.

AU - Kassel, Molly B.

AU - Kim, Julie Sojin

AU - Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe

AU - Lawlor, Hilary R.

AU - Lim, Stephen S.

AU - Lindstedt, Paulina A.

AU - Lozano, Rafael

AU - Maass, Kelsey Lynn

AU - McKowen, A. W.

AU - Mestrovic, Tomislav

AU - Moberg, Madeline E.

AU - Mokdad, Ali H.

AU - Mosser, Jonathan F.

AU - Mougin, Vincent

AU - Nguyen, Quynhanh P.

AU - Ostroff, Samuel M.

AU - Beyene, Kebede A.

PY - 2024/5/18

Y1 - 2024/5/18

KW - Adult

KW - Aged

KW - Disability-Adjusted Life Years

KW - Female

KW - Forecasting

KW - Global Burden of Disease/trends

KW - Global Health

KW - Humans

KW - Life Expectancy/trends

KW - Male

KW - Middle Aged

KW - Mortality/trends

KW - Risk Factors

KW - Young Adult

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85192868532

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85192868532#tab=citedBy

U2 - 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8

DO - 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8

M3 - Article

C2 - 38762325

AN - SCOPUS:85192868532

SN - 0140-6736

VL - 403

SP - 2204

EP - 2256

JO - The Lancet

JF - The Lancet

IS - 10440

ER -

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Keywords

Access to Document

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